The stage is set for Super Bowl 58, concluding the 2024 NFL Playoffs with a clash between the Kansas City Chiefs and the San Francisco 49ers. Scheduled for Sunday, February 11, at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas, the kickoff is set for 6:30 PM ET. According to the latest Super Bowl odds from the SportsLine consensus, the 49ers enter the matchup as slight 1-point favorites, with the over/under set at 47.5.
While traditional betting options exist, there will also be a plethora of NFL prop bets to consider for the Super Bowl, such as those involving Christian McCaffrey’s rushing yards and Travis Kelce’s receiving yards.
Questions like whether McCaffrey will surpass 88.5 rushing yards or if Kelce will exceed 70.5 receiving yards will be intriguing for those looking to diversify their Super Bowl parlay picks and SGPs. Before making any decisions, including Super Bowl picks or NFL parlays, it’s advisable to consult the NFL predictions and betting advice provided by SportsLine’s proven computer model.
With a track record of simulating every NFL game 10,000 times, the model has yielded substantial returns, surpassing $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. Notably, the model boasts a remarkable 184-129 record on top-rated NFL picks dating back to the 2017 season, entering the conference championship round of the 2024 NFL playoffs.
It continues its success with a 38-21 run on top-rated picks since Week 7 of the previous season and has accurately predicted seven consecutive top-rated picks leading up to the 2024 NFL playoffs.
With a track record of consistently strong performance, the model has excelled in NFLPickWatch rankings, securing a spot in the top 10 for straight-up NFL picks in four of the past six years. It also outperformed over 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players on four occasions during this period. Those who have followed the model’s recommendations have seen significant success.
Presently, the model has identified eight high-confidence NFL best bets for Super Bowl 58, which could result in a substantial payout of approximately 147-1 if successfully parlayed. Exclusive access to the model’s Super Bowl NFL picks is available at SportsLine.
After conducting 10,000 simulations of Super Bowl 58, the model forecasts that 49ers quarterback Brock Purdy will fall well short of 247.5 passing yards. Despite being a strong contender for the NFL MVP earlier in the season, Purdy’s performance has tapered off recently, particularly evident in a four-interception game against the Ravens late in the regular season.
Over his last four starts, he has averaged just 7.7 yards per pass attempt, compared to 9.8 yards per attempt in his first 14 games. Moreover, Purdy has failed to exceed 247.5 passing yards in three of his last five starts, and the Kansas City defense has limited opposing quarterbacks to 247 yards or fewer in 13 of their 20 games this season.
Based on the model’s projections, Purdy is expected to face challenges against the formidable Chiefs pass defense, with an average passing yardage prediction of 223 yards. This forecast stands out as one of the model’s strongest Super Bowl picks. It is recommended to include this prediction as a pivotal component of your Super Bowl SGP picks. Further insights on additional NFL parlay picks can be found here.